Led by Turkey, Learn About the New Security Model in Transcaucasia

A Turkish center said that “despite the suppression of conflicts and clashes in the Transcaucasia, the complex and malicious conspiracy plans hatched to distort the peace process in the new power game that began in the region are still going on.”

The “Ankara Crisis and Political Research Center (ANKASAM)” indicated in an article by the writer and expert Mehmood Ul Hassan Khan, that “despite the historical defeat it suffered, it is noticed that Armenia is still inclined to implement a series of aggressive tactics out of sight to harm people, nature and infrastructure.”

Khan stressed that “Armenia's insistence not to share information related to its explosive mines, scattered everywhere like mushrooms, is the most important indicator of the inherited hostility against the innocent and peaceful Azerbaijani people.”

Power Dynamics

Khan believes that “Azerbaijan’s victory in the second Karabakh war (September 27, 2020 - November 10, 2020) has changed the nature of power dynamics in the region, in addition to its interests, scope of activity, expectations and demands, thus strengthening the new security equation that appeared in the region, and developing the relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey beyond its former status.”

He added: “There is a new chessboard in the region that is literally reshaping the bilateral and tripartite relations, as Azerbaijan has created a new security model that imposes its political superiority, economic sovereignty and geopolitical options in Transcaucasia.”

The race has already ended and the winners and losers are known, although efforts are still continuing to reach a simple and pure “humane” relationship, according to the Pakistani writer.

He continued: “The historic victory was achieved in the second Karabakh war, which broke out to liberate the occupied territory from the hands of Armenia, as a result of Azerbaijan's superiority in military tactics and expertise, its use of innovative and advanced war techniques, and its effective and ideal integration between human and artificial intelligence, in addition to the wise leadership of its President Ilham Aliyev.”

Khan added that “the extraordinary military capabilities of the Azerbaijani armed forces in the history of war have also changed significantly. Moreover, the successful regional and global diplomatic maneuvers of President Aliyev left Armenia and its supporters no choice but to admit defeat and leave the previously illegally occupied areas.”

Khan pointed out that the European Union and the West called this situation the emergence of the “new middle power,” since it has succeeded in changing the course of development of ties, relations, security, defense, social and economic integration and the geopolitical equation in Transcaucasia.

While Azerbaijan and Turkey won directly in the war, Pakistan won as a strategic partner for the duo. On the other hand, Armenia, the European Union and the OSCE Minsk Group lost the war directly, while the United States and Iran were the ones who lost indirectly, the writer says.

He added: “This victory of Azerbaijan has opened a new door of opportunities in the Transcaucasia region. Both the energy and food security fields have become stronger than before, and Azerbaijan is now an important player in the gas economy (in supply and demand) in the region beyond the Black Sea, the Transcaucasia, and the European Union.”

Azerbaijan's energy cooperation with Southeast Asia also gained momentum, giving it the opportunity to develop close relations, especially with the Pakistani government.

Khan added: “The victory achieved in Karabakh is considered a positive development within the framework of strengthening the strategic partnership between Pakistan, Azerbaijan and Turkey, which we hope will change the basic dynamics and concepts of development in the region in the coming days.”

New Partnership

The series of bilateral and trilateral military exercises that took place between Azerbaijan, Pakistan and Turkey indicate the emergence of a new defense partnership in the region, and this has strengthened bilateral and trilateral defense cooperation in terms of joint exercises, production, and technical training and preparation.

While the reconstruction of the liberated areas is in full swing, the mines in the area appear as a “killing machine” in the face of a strong social and economic development, and although Azerbaijan has repeatedly asked the international community to share the details of the mines planted by Armenia, the latter did not agree to this, showing An “aggressive and hostile” attitude, according to the author.

Khan signified that both the international community and well-known NGOs, during their visits to the liberated areas, witnessed the “fatal symptom” left behind by Armenia from damage to roads, homes, schools, kindergartens, hospitals, social assistance centers, libraries, community centers, basic infrastructure and most of all, nature.

He emphasized that this exposed the cover of “horrific” acts of sabotage, deliberate mass destruction, devastative activities against the environment, and years of inhumane acts such as ethnic cleansing and “genocide.”

Therefore, the government of Azerbaijan established a development fund for the reconstruction and construction of these newly liberated areas, and a regulatory agency was established for easy and rapid development.

President Aliyev instructed the authorities to institutionalize the concepts of “smarter life” and “smart cities” in shelters and infrastructure that rely on green energy in all newly liberated areas such as Fuzuli, Gabriel, Zangilan, Qubadli, and Shusha, aiming to revolutionize residential construction, says the Pakistani writer.

He added: “The Islamabad government has already pledged to help rebuild these areas. Even the head of the Frontier Works Organization (FWO), affiliated with the Pakistan Army Corps of Engineers, visited Baku to discuss ways to rebuild these areas.”

The organization has also provided its extensive experience in mine clearance and rebuilding mountainous areas to the Azerbaijani government, according to reliable diplomatic sources.

Real Fortresses

Mehmood Ul Hassan Khan believes that “the series of visits by the Pakistani Air Force, the Chief of Staff, and many other high-level officials, shows that the defense cooperation between brotherly countries has been greatly enhanced.”

“The only thing that is currently missing for us to work on developing drone technologies is the joint cooperation between Pakistan, Azerbaijan and Turkey. Joint cooperation between these three brotherly countries can change the rules of the game in electronic warfare, and establishing close relations within the scope of maritime cooperation may raise these countries above the status quo in the coming days.”

Khan proceeds: “As one of the regional experts, I propose the establishment of a development bank that meets the financial requirements and speeds up the investment activities of the three countries, in order to strengthen the bilateral or trilateral strategic partnerships between Pakistan, Azerbaijan and Turkey, which would also lead to an increase in the pace of development and acceleration of reconstruction in the liberated areas in Azerbaijan.”

He continued: “The exchange of local or related currencies, and cultural cooperation, will lead to a change in the rules of the game, in order to continue developing bilateral or trilateral relations in various fields such as economy, foreign direct investments, portfolio investments, joint ventures, science and technology, agriculture, textiles, and energy."

While the establishment of an “energy bank” will contribute to the acceleration of cooperation in the field of energy between these countries, a joint “tourism company” will work to increase the development of tourism between the three countries.

Khan concluded his article by saying: “The emergence of new security dynamics in Transcaucasia requires bilateral or trilateral cooperation, joint military collaboration and enhanced socio-economic integration, in addition to strong political consultation, in order to create sustainable economic cooperation, political and social cohesion, and real fortresses above all.”

In this context, the completion of the corridor between Turkey and Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, and the movement of the freight train between Turkey, Iran, and Pakistan, may constitute a new point of convergence between these three brotherly countries in the coming days.